🇺🇦 Pictured: The first MLRS M270 from the UK have arrived. “They will be good company for HIMARS”
🇺🇦The difference between HIMARS and MLRS: MLRS carry more missiles, are slower, are reportedly less reliable/more maintenance intensive, and are an older but modernized design. Tracks versus wheels. They shoot the same missiles. My read on it is that HIMARS are better for scoot-and-shoot, and MLRS are better for helping troops advance. HIMARS seem to be the better weapons
🇺🇦 The US House approved the 2023 NDAA with $100m to train Ukrainian pilots on American aircraft—in particular F15s and F16s
🇺🇦 Two Russian Su-27 fighter jets tried to strike Snake Island and missed. lol
🇺🇦 Institute for the Study of War suggests that Russia is coming out of its operational pause. Russian forces carried out imited ground assaults around Slovyansk, Siversk, the T1302 Bakhmut-Lysychansk highway, southeast of Bakhmut, and around Donetsk City. “These assaults may indicate that Russian forces are attempting to resume their offensive operations in Donbas.”
🇺🇦 Pictured: There’s really not much to write about today. I’m posting a picture of ISW’s action map to show that there’s just not much happening. That’s the reason for this super short post, not out of lack of trying!
📢 Countries apply to be in NATO. NATO is a defense alliance that has never, and does not, consider offensive operations. Saying NATO is encroaching on Russia is Kremlin messaging. Russia has three primary propaganda efforts directed at the West, and that’s the first.
📢 Yes, Ukraine has a nazi problem, but it’s a very small percentage of the country, and not representative of the whole. Using a small group to smear the entire group is called “guilt by association.” Russia has three primary propaganda efforts directed at the West, and that’s the second.
📢 If you ever hear anyone say “What about this thing America did…” in an effort to redirect attention away from Ukraine and onto the west, that is called “Competitive victimhood” and the associated meme is *always* created by Russian-backed media. Russia has three primary propaganda efforts directed at the West, and that’s the third.
⚠️ Sorry about the typos or awkward sentences!!!! This is the inevitable result of putting out a finalized research product once every 24 hours, with no staff. If anyone feels like giving me staff, we can polish this b right up!
⚠️ I got lazy with my citations and I apologize. My top sources are: Current and former military planners, singularly-focused pundits, and all manner of vetted open-source intelligence. Top cited open source pundits and sources include: CP Scott, Institute for the Study of War, Kyiv Independent, and mainstream news with high levels of journalistic integrity and track records. Sadly I can’t source private individuals, of course.
⚠️ Speaking of sources, thanks to all of you who have forwarded me tips or given me data from the front line. You’re the private individuals I wish I could source publicly
⚠️ Though my awesome employer taught me everything I know about OSINT, these posts are not affiliated with my employer, nor done during my employer’s time. Every item I report is from my own research, my own opinion, and written during my own time.
⚠️ Note: War happens fast and even high fidelity news needs a ton of corrections after the dust settles.
🇺🇦 Sorry to my Substack readers who get this weird “ua” symbol instead of a flag emoji!