🇺🇦 Two more Russian generals were ALLEGEDLY killed in Stara Zburivka, Kherson region. I cannot find any independent verification of this. However, here are the notes: One was from the army and another from the FSB. One of the killed generals was responsible for the organization of the referendum in the Kherson region. This makes 15 total (14+1). If you have additional information on this, please let me know
🇺🇦 Russia demolished 1,300 buildings in Mariupol without first removing the bodies
🇺🇦 Ukraine's strategy in Severodonetsk seems to be focus on inflicting high casualties on Russian personnel rather than seeking to hold the entire city.
🇺🇦 Ukrainians have been conducting a wide counteroffensive in Kherson along most of the frontline. Instead of concentrating a big force to break through in one area, they are slowly pushing Russians back.
🇺🇦 Multiple reports of Ukrainian advance in Zaporizhia direction of over several kilometers in certain places.
🇺🇦 Ukraine launches a new counteroffensive in Kherson Oblast.
🇺🇦 Russia’s car industry has devolved into a ‘bandit state’ where repairs cost more than new cars causing criminals to steal parts off of cars to sell them for repairs
🇺🇦 In an intercepted call, a Russian soldier complained that soldiers are not being withdrawn from Ukraine because if they were, then the world would find out what’s happening.
🇺🇦 In the above call, the soldier also said: "20 people are being sent to a battle… We will go there to die. There is a battalion [of Ukraine forces], and we have only 20 people. We have all accepted the fact that if we go there, we will not get out.”
🇺🇦 In the above call, the soldier said he wants to “just leave there stupidly through the woods"
🇵🇱 Poland, which would be a primary destabilization target of Russia if Ukraine fell, signed one of its largest export contracts ever, to sell heavy weapons to Ukraine. A contract for over 50 howitzers worth around $630 million was signed in Kyiv.
🇵🇱 The above happened because Poland understands that there is only ONE threat to their country and they have a once in a generation opportunity to reduce that threat and live in peace for a century or more.
🇵🇱 Poland has already sent over 240 tanks and $2 billion worth of weapons
🇺🇦 Prime Minister Boris Johnson has ordered his ministers to do "everything in their power" to secure the release of two Britons captured by Russian forces while fighting in Ukraine and sentenced to death.
🇺🇦 No operations update today.
💀Wagner:
🇺🇦 UA destroyed a base used by mercenaries from Russia’s Wagner private military company at Kadiyivka soccer Stadium.
🇺🇦 A separate source states that very few mercenaries (eg., one person) survived the above attack.
🇺🇦 A favorite of Russian propagandists, a mercenary of PMC Wagner, Vladimir Andanov, with the call sign ‘Vakha,’ has been KIA
🇺🇦 Vladimir "Vakha" Batobolotovich has been killed in Ukraine. He served in a Reconnaissance Control Group within the PMC Wagner and was wanted for executing POWs in Ukraine in 2015.
🇺🇦 I am seeking confirmation that the head of Wagner was KIA. If anyone has data on this, please let me know
🖼️ Other:
🇺🇦 Russia's advanced submarine base is decorated with large painting of a U.S. attack sub. The new mural in Gadzhievo depicts a U.S attack submarine, most likely of the Los Angeles-Class or Ohio-Class. This is likely due to a googling error. (Thank you, Kent S)
🇺🇦 The above reminds me of the time when I said “SU-25” and posted a picture of an SU-27 and every single person in the world emailed me
🇺🇦 In summation, never ask me to paint a mural of an attack aircraft.
📢 Countries apply to be in NATO. NATO doesn’t seek to expand. Saying NATO is encroaching on Russia is Kremlin messaging. Russia has three primary propaganda efforts directed at the West, and that’s the first.
📢 Yes, Ukraine has a nazi problem, but it’s a very small percentage of the country, and not representative of the whole. Using a small group to smear the entire group is called “guilt by association.” Russia has three primary propaganda efforts directed at the West, and that’s the second.
📢 If you ever hear anyone say “What about this thing America did…” or “what about Palistine?” in an effort to redirect attention away from Ukraine and onto the west, that is called “Competitive victimhood” and the associated meme is *always* created by Russian-backed media. Russia has three primary propaganda efforts directed at the West, and that’s the third.
⚠️ Sorry about the typos or awkward sentences!!!! This is the inevitable result of putting out a finalized research product once every 24 hours, with no staff. If anyone feels like giving me staff, we can polish this b right up!
⚠️ I got lazy with my citations and I apologize. My top sources are: Current and former military planners, singularly-focused pundits, and all manner of vetted open-source intelligence. Top cited open source pundits and sources include: CP Scott, Institute for the Study of War, Kyiv Independent, Aaron Parnas, John Aravosis, Malcontent News, and mainstream news with high levels of journalistic integrity and track records. Sadly I can’t source private individuals, of course.
⚠️ Speaking of sources, thanks to all of you who have forwarded me tips or given me data from the front line. You’re the private individuals I wish I could source publicly
⚠️ Though my awesome employer taught me everything I know about OSINT, these posts are not affiliated with my employer, nor done during my employer’s time. Every item I report is from my own research, my own opinion, and written during my own time.
⚠️ Note: War happens fast and even high fidelity news needs a ton of corrections after the dust settles. Also, I’ve been spoiled by social media’s format where I can update the final product every time I find a typo. That poses a problem because…
⚠️ I started a Substack newsletter to accommodate the individual emails requests. Feel free to subscribe!