🇺🇦 (Pictured) List of outflows of millionaires leaving their home countries projected for this year. Russia has the most, at 15,000 millionaires, due to this war. That is 15% of their high net worth individuals. This is a staggering amount. China has second most, at 10,000, with is 1%.
🇺🇸 America on the other hand, will receive 1,500 millionaires.
🇺🇦 Russia is not fighting at night. As noted before, they have no nighttime capability
🇺🇦 As a note, the west donating a ton of night vision gear several months ago. I do not know the status of their night fighting capability.
🇺🇸 Side note, America owns the night.
🇺🇦 Ukraine destroyed Russia's Vasily Bekh Rescue Tug by using two antiship missiles. This was a fairly new and big dollar ship which was resupplying Snake Island.
🇺🇦 Russian forces made marginal gains on the outskirts of Severodonetsk.
🇺🇦 Russia has largely stalled along other axes of advance.
🇺🇦 Just like Mariupol, Russia will likely take Severodonetsk in the coming weeks, but at a steep cost to other progress. For example…
🇺🇦 Russia wants to push UA away from railway lines surrounding Kharkiv City but can’t make significant gains due to the concentration in Severodonetsk, which makes RU vulnerable to Ukrainian counteroffensives, and prevents RU from resupplying their troops via railway
🇺🇦 Russian moral continues to be abysmal. UA released intercepted phone calls in which Russian soldiers complained about frontline conditions, poor equipment, and overall lack of personnel.
🇺🇦 In one such intercepted phone call, one soldier claimed that certain battalion tactical groups (BTGs) have only 10 to 15 troops remaining in service.
🇺🇦 Russia is doing a nation-wide recruitment effort, and they’re finding fresh bodies to fight. They are using all means at its disposal to find reinforcements, luring them with attractive offers, issuing threats and even simulating a general mobilization by sending out huge numbers of summons to reservists – which some, either out of ignorance or fear, interpret as a call up order.
🇺🇦 When France, Germany, and Italy met with Ukraine, there were no concessions or demands made by France, Germany, nor Italy. No suggestions of ceding territory to stop the war.
🇺🇦 It seems that Germany has moved to the realm of providing equipment
🇺🇦 Opinion: Every single leader in the world can get to Kyiv except for Putin, and this world-wide support is probably starting to wear on Putin
📢 Countries apply to be in NATO. Saying NATO is encroaching on Russia is Kremlin messaging. Russia has three primary propaganda efforts directed at the West, and that’s the first.
📢 Yes, Ukraine has a nazi problem, but it’s a very small percentage of the country, and not representative of the whole. Using a small group to smear the entire group is called “guilt by association.” Russia has three primary propaganda efforts directed at the West, and that’s the second.
📢 If you ever hear anyone say “What about this thing America did…” or “what about Palestine?” in an effort to redirect attention away from Ukraine and onto the west, that is called “Competitive victimhood” and the associated meme is *always* created by Russian-backed media. Russia has three primary propaganda efforts directed at the West, and that’s the third.
⚠️ Sorry about the typos or awkward sentences!!!! This is the inevitable result of putting out a finalized research product once every 24 hours, with no staff. If anyone feels like giving me staff, we can polish this b right up!
⚠️ I got lazy with my citations and I apologize. My top sources are: Current and former military planners, singularly-focused pundits, and all manner of vetted open-source intelligence. Top cited open source pundits and sources include: CP Scott, Institute for the Study of War, Kyiv Independent, Aaron Parnas, John Aravosis, Malcontent News, and mainstream news with high levels of journalistic integrity and track records. Sadly I can’t source private individuals, of course.
⚠️ Speaking of sources, thanks to all of you who have forwarded me tips or given me data from the front line. You’re the private individuals I wish I could source publicly
⚠️ Though my awesome employer taught me everything I know about OSINT, these posts are not affiliated with my employer, nor done during my employer’s time. Every item I report is from my own research, my own opinion, and written during my own time.
⚠️ Note: War happens fast and even high fidelity news needs a ton of corrections after the dust settles.