🇺🇦 Pictured: Short update today as there’s not much additional information, so you guys get a meme instead of a photo
🇺🇦 Lithuania will not lift restrictions on transit to Kaliningrad. Lithuania will retain control over goods transported through their territory. There won’t be any concessions in response to the Kremlin’s threats.
🇺🇦 Russia has taken full control of Severodonetsk
🇺🇦 Russian forces made measured gains to the north and southeast of Bakhmut.
🇺🇦 Russian forces continued unsuccessful attempts to advance southeast of Izyum toward Slovyansk.
🇺🇦 Russian forces continued positional battles north of Kharkiv City.
🇺🇦 Russian forces attempted to strengthen their defensive lines and recapture lost positions on the Southern Axis.
🇺🇦 A Russian command post in Donbas is the first victim of US->UA HIMARS system
🇺🇦 Russian patriarch, Kirill, slipped on holy water and ended up on the ground during religious service. (That update is for you, Jess)
🇺🇦 American journalists have learned from their sources that CIA special agents in Kyiv are transmitting sensitive information to Western spies to the Ukrainian leadership, and that there is an underground network of special forces from various NATO countries throughout Ukraine…………which is something we all knew like 3 months ago, so everyone stop gasping
🇺🇦 Youtube blocked 500 pro-Kremlin channels
🇺🇦 I don’t know if this is noteworthy, but Putin’s motorcade made haste through Moscow and it was half the size of the normal motorcade size. The movement seemed urgent. This was reported by multiple sources so it seems worthy to report here.
🇺🇦 Russia officially changed commanders for forces in central and southern groupings. This confirms rumors of command change.
🇺🇦 Russian forces conducted an abnormally large series of missile strikes against Ukrainian rear areas . These are group, air, and sea-based missile. Target areas include Zhytomyr, Kyiv, Khmelmytskyi, Chernihiv, Lviv, Mykolaiv, Kharkiv, and Dnipropetrovsk oblasts
🇺🇦 Belarusian involvement is highly unlikely. We know this, but this is only relevant because UA intelligence reported it.
📢 Countries apply to be in NATO. Saying NATO is encroaching on Russia is Kremlin messaging. Russia has three primary propaganda efforts directed at the West, and that’s the first.
📢 Yes, Ukraine has a nazi problem, but it’s a very small percentage of the country, and not representative of the whole. Using a small group to smear the entire group is called “guilt by association.” Russia has three primary propaganda efforts directed at the West, and that’s the second.
📢 If you ever hear anyone say “What about this thing America did…” or “what about Palestine?” in an effort to redirect attention away from Ukraine and onto the west, that is called “Competitive victimhood” and the associated meme is *always* created by Russian-backed media. Russia has three primary propaganda efforts directed at the West, and that’s the third.
⚠️ Sorry about the typos or awkward sentences!!!! This is the inevitable result of putting out a finalized research product once every 24 hours, with no staff. If anyone feels like giving me staff, we can polish this b right up!
⚠️ I got lazy with my citations and I apologize. My top sources are: Current and former military planners, singularly-focused pundits, and all manner of vetted open-source intelligence. Top cited open source pundits and sources include: CP Scott, Institute for the Study of War, Kyiv Independent, Aaron Parnas, John Aravosis, Malcontent News, and mainstream news with high levels of journalistic integrity and track records. Sadly I can’t source private individuals, of course.
⚠️ Speaking of sources, thanks to all of you who have forwarded me tips or given me data from the front line. You’re the private individuals I wish I could source publicly
⚠️ Though my awesome employer taught me everything I know about OSINT, these posts are not affiliated with my employer, nor done during my employer’s time. Every item I report is from my own research, my own opinion, and written during my own time.
⚠️ Note: War happens fast and even high fidelity news needs a ton of corrections after the dust settles.
🇺🇦 Sorry to my Substack readers who get this weird “ua” symbol instead of a flag emoji!