🇺🇦 Happy Fathers’ Day to all the fathers out there! And if you’re not a father, then the big secret is Father’s Day is mostly about their kids trying to do things for them, and then their fathers having to get drones out of trees as a result. ANYWAY, onwards…
🇺🇦 (Pictured) If you donate $100 to the Ukraine army, you can put text on 152mm artillery shell.
🇺🇦 Homeland and national security officials are worried about how Russia could significantly exploit US divisions over the November midterms,
🇺🇦 One specific scenario is Russia staging smaller hacks of local election authorities — done with the deliberate purpose of being noticed — and then using that to seed more conspiracies about the integrity of American elections.
🇺🇦 The purpose of Russian meddling seems to be to create doubts about the legitimacy of the election just to destabilize the United States
🇺🇦 Destabilization is Russia’s MO, and they have successfully used it against Moldova, Ukraine, Chechnya, Syria, Europe, and a host of other nations.
🇺🇦 Remember, the leader of the California secessionist movement lives in Russia. Russia will exploit both liberal and conservative grievances in order to destabilize America
🇺🇦 "Russia doesn't have to do anything in advance of the election -- just observe where operational challenges occur and use that issue to exploit the subsequent distrust and division," said one US official involved in election security. "The asymmetrical advantage is astounding."
🇺🇦 Fox News Poll: Six in ten favor US continuing to provide aid to Ukraine. That is unchanged since March.
🇺🇦 According to the “Minister of Defense of the DPR", Ihor Strelkov-Hirkin, the headquarters of the DPR 1st Army Corps was completely destroyed by Ukrainian shelling yesterday.
🇺🇦 Note, Ihor Strelkov-Hirkin, the Minister of Defense of the occupied UA region known as DPR, is a former FSB officer
🇺🇦 UA destroyed the command post of the 20th RF Army. There is currently no accurate information on the number of the invaders killed.
🇺🇦 Ukrainian anti-air defenses intercepted two Russian P-800 Oniks supersonic cruise missiles over Odesa Oblast.
🇺🇦 Russians are reportedly bringing large amounts of reinforcements into Kherson area from Crimea
🇺🇦 There was a mass surrender Russian of servicemen in Luhansk region
🇺🇦 First the good news: Russian artillery is less effective than Ukrainian artillery. But…
🇺🇦 Russia outguns Ukraine by about 20 to 1
🇺🇦 US is expected to double the number of HIMARS systems we are sending in the next few weeks.
🇺🇦 As mentioned before, all bridges to Severodonetsk have been destroyed, which cuts of UA escape. This also prevents ground resupply to UA forces.
🇺🇦 Russia was accurate when they said Severodonetsk was turning into a second Mariupol.
🇺🇦 Still, this comes at a price to Russia…they are subsequently having an impossible time crossing the Siverskyi Donets River river. So they’ve kind of created their own problem.
🇺🇦 Even worse, now thousands of Ukrainians are cut off from the world.
🇺🇦 The only humanitarian corridors that Russia is allowing are ones that exit into Russian territory. UA understandably doesn’t want to go there.
🇺🇦 Russia is pulling all of its reserves from the Luhansk Oblast region in order to create a larger offensive in Severodonetsk.
🇺🇦 New investigations by Amnesty International are pointing to atrocious war crimes that are taking place in the Kharkiv region.
🇺🇦 The UN states that the war in Ukraine has led to 100 million people being displaced globally. This includes Ukraine obviously, but also food shortages in Africa and Southeast Asia are causing people to move to urban centers in preparation for food aid.
🇺🇦 I have verified the above statistic through multiple sources. 100 million people.
📢 Countries apply to be in NATO. Saying NATO is encroaching on Russia is Kremlin messaging. Russia has three primary propaganda efforts directed at the West, and that’s the first.
📢 Yes, Ukraine has a nazi problem, but it’s a very small percentage of the country, and not representative of the whole. Using a small group to smear the entire group is called “guilt by association.” Russia has three primary propaganda efforts directed at the West, and that’s the second.
📢 If you ever hear anyone say “What about this thing America did…” or “what about Palestine?” in an effort to redirect attention away from Ukraine and onto the west, that is called “Competitive victimhood” and the associated meme is *always* created by Russian-backed media. Russia has three primary propaganda efforts directed at the West, and that’s the third.
⚠️ Sorry about the typos or awkward sentences!!!! This is the inevitable result of putting out a finalized research product once every 24 hours, with no staff. If anyone feels like giving me staff, we can polish this b right up!
⚠️ I got lazy with my citations and I apologize. My top sources are: Current and former military planners, singularly-focused pundits, and all manner of vetted open-source intelligence. Top cited open source pundits and sources include: CP Scott, Institute for the Study of War, Kyiv Independent, Aaron Parnas, John Aravosis, Malcontent News, and mainstream news with high levels of journalistic integrity and track records. Sadly I can’t source private individuals, of course.
⚠️ Speaking of sources, thanks to all of you who have forwarded me tips or given me data from the front line. You’re the private individuals I wish I could source publicly
⚠️ Though my awesome employer taught me everything I know about OSINT, these posts are not affiliated with my employer, nor done during my employer’s time. Every item I report is from my own research, my own opinion, and written during my own time.
⚠️ Note: War happens fast and even high fidelity news needs a ton of corrections after the dust settles.
Do you have a link to the $100 to get a message put on an artillery shell?
Thanks.