🇺🇦 Pictured: Zelensky watches as First Lady Olena Zelenskahis addresses the US Congress.
🇺🇦 The first result of Olena Zelenska’s visit to US is a draft resolution on recognizing Russia's actions as genocide
🇺🇦 Each HIMARS is still in operation. None have been destroyed, captured, or damaged
🇺🇦 Ukraine’s defense minister has appealed to global arms manufacturers to provide their new advanced weapons to the Ukrainian military for testing them on the actual battlefield against Russia.
☝️That’s some some epic trolling right there
🇺🇦 Russia has used 60% of all of its missiles in Ukraine, and they don’t have the ability to mass manufacture them
🇺🇦 National security reporter Jack Detsch, and a diplomacy and national security reporter, Robbie Gramer, report that western officials believe Russia will begin a major offensive in Ukraine early next year, including an effort to take Odessa for the purpose of cutting off Ukraine from the sea.
🇺🇦 It appears Russian forces are culminating—a process that started during the siege of Severodonetsk—and will run out of steam, giving Ukraine opportunities to advance. This assessment comes from the chief of the Secret Intelligence Service (MI6), and all evidence I’ve read supports this.
🇺🇦 There is growing speculation that Ukraine may get A-10 Warthogs. I am reporting JUST on the traffic and speculation. That’s all this is. I haven’t been able to verify any of the quotes.
🇺🇦 Pictured: F-18 Strike Eagle
🇺🇦 Russia’s population is experiencing an unusually high death rate from non-natural causes. This is mostly due to alcoholism. Also, poor sanitary conditions and heavy metals in their drinking water.
🇺🇦 I found out the above when I watched a video of Russian State media saying that the west will soon disappear due to inverted demographics. (America is one of the few countries in the world that doesn’t have this problem, mostly due to immigration. We’re taking all your workers and educated, Russia!)
🇺🇦 Russian artillery is completely inaccurate. You hear people say this, but it doesn’t hit home until you watch Russian artillery just completely miss and land in an empty field.
🇺🇦 Russian forces conducted a few limited and highly localized ground attacks. The operational tempo is not much different then the operational pause that started on July 7
🇺🇦 Russian forces continued limited ground attacks to the east of Siversk and south of Bakhmut.
🇺🇦 Russian forces conducted an unsuccessful ground attack north of Kharkiv City.
🇺🇦 Russian forces conducted a limited ground attack in Kherson Oblast.
🇺🇦 Russian forces may be storing equipment in Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant facilities to protect it against Ukrainian strikes.
🇺🇦 Russia’s Murmansk Oblast is reportedly forming a volunteer battalion.
🇺🇦 Note to my female audience: Yes, I posted a picture of a man watching his wife do something, and framed the wife’s accomplishment from the man’s perspective. I did that because Olena Zelenska is a strong, wonderful woman, and I hope she inspires a generation of female leaders that causes all of us husbands to stare slackjaw at their radiance.
🇺🇦 …Also, if my wife ever convinced America to give me a HIMARS, I’ll never have to buy my own drinks ever again
📢 Countries apply to be in NATO. NATO is a defense alliance that has never, and does not, consider offensive operations. Saying NATO is encroaching on Russia is Kremlin messaging. Russia has three primary propaganda efforts directed at the West, and that’s the first.
📢 Yes, Ukraine has a nazi problem, but it’s a very small percentage of the country, and not representative of the whole. Using a small group to smear the entire group is called “guilt by association.” Russia has three primary propaganda efforts directed at the West, and that’s the second.
📢 If you ever hear anyone say “What about this thing America did…” in an effort to redirect attention away from Ukraine and onto the west, that is called “Competitive victimhood” and the associated meme is *always* created by Russian-backed media. Russia has three primary propaganda efforts directed at the West, and that’s the third.
⚠️ Sorry about the typos or awkward sentences!!!! This is the inevitable result of putting out a finalized research product once every 24 hours, with no staff. If anyone feels like giving me staff, we can polish this b right up!
⚠️ I got lazy with my citations and I apologize. My top sources are: Current and former military planners, singularly-focused pundits, and all manner of vetted open-source intelligence. Top cited open source pundits and sources include: CP Scott, Institute for the Study of War, Kyiv Independent, and mainstream news with high levels of journalistic integrity and track records. Sadly I can’t source private individuals, of course.
⚠️ Speaking of sources, thanks to all of you who have forwarded me tips or given me data from the front line. You’re the private individuals I wish I could source publicly
⚠️ Though my awesome employer taught me everything I know about OSINT, these posts are not affiliated with my employer, nor done during my employer’s time. Every item I report is from my own research, my own opinion, and written during my own time.
⚠️ Note: War happens fast and even high fidelity news needs a ton of corrections after the dust settles.
🇺🇦 Sorry to my Substack readers who get this weird “ua” symbol instead of a flag emoji!
🇺🇦 Yes I know that an F18 Strike Eagle isn’t a thing
About providing new advanced weapons to the Ukrainian military for testing: I have been thinking the same thing. The West has been producing all sorts of weapons for decades. As far as I know this war is the first widespread sustained usage of a tiny fraction of these weapons in combat. How much will Ukraine charge the manufactures for testing them under actual battlefield conditions? Because you know the Western arms dealers will be using videos of their equipment in action to potential buyers. (Pity the Russian arms dealers.)
I would love to see a few battalions of A1 Abrams tanks put into play. Also the Warthogs. It would almost be unfair to unleash Warthogs on the Orcs. Almost. A10's would definitely chew up the battlefield.
As always, thanks for keeping us updated.